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New Survey Released Following Jones Allegations

New Survey Released Following Jones Allegations

In the swirling aftermath of the Jay Jones texting scandal, Virginia’s political landscape has taken a sharp, measurable turn. What began as a controversy centered on one candidate has now rippled across the entire ballot, affecting not only the attorney general race but also tightening contests for governor and lieutenant governor. This isn’t just about one man’s recklessness with words—it’s a broader referendum on judgment, values, and the character of leadership in the Commonwealth.

Let’s rewind for a moment. When the Jones campaign released its own internal polling on October 8—just five days after his disturbing texts came to light—it showed him clinging to a razor-thin, one-point lead over incumbent Republican Attorney General Jason Miyares. But as seasoned political observers know, internal polls are often a candidate’s last tool to maintain appearances. If Jones was barely holding on in his own numbers, the true picture was likely far grimmer.


Enter the Trafalgar Group. Known for polling that’s often closer to election outcomes than many others, Trafalgar released new numbers this past Saturday showing Miyares had overtaken Jones in a post-scandal surge. Taken between October 8 and 10, the data confirms what many suspected: Jay Jones didn’t just damage his campaign—he supercharged his opponent’s.

But it didn’t stop there. Trafalgar’s new polling also revealed a narrowing in both the gubernatorial and lieutenant governor contests. Before the scandal broke, the Democrats held modest leads.

Now, those margins are vanishing. Abigail Spanberger, the former congresswoman running for lieutenant governor, is facing sharp criticism—not just for her lackluster debate performance, but for her unwillingness to address or even acknowledge the gravity of Jones’s actions. Her silence is becoming its own liability.


The tone of this election has changed. It’s no longer simply about policies and platforms. As both Miyares and Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears have emphasized, it’s about integrity—about who Virginians can trust to represent them when the spotlight is off and the stakes are high.

Jay Jones’s behavior, including allegedly fantasizing about political violence and the deaths of police officers, has forced voters to ask themselves a painful question: Is this the moral compass they want guiding their legal system? And when candidates like Spanberger refuse to speak out against such conduct, the silence becomes an endorsement—intentional or not.

Written by Mark Stevens - October 13, 2025